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Probably Stolen Let Me Run a Crooked Shop. I Just Wish Crime Mattered More

Writer: Niels Gys
Niels Gys
7 hours ago
5 min read

Probably Stolen absolutely lets you run a crooked little business. I spent the demo protecting wanted criminals, buying suspicious counterfeits, scamming customers with fake labels and preparing to hide contraband from Security. The problem is that by Day 10, I was getting bored.


The crime is real. The systems are real. Some of the decisions are wonderfully grubby. But the dominant fantasy, at least across the ten in-game days I played, was still running a shop. And apparently my criminal empire involves wholesale discounts, rent, insurance and an increasingly desperate desire for a fucking sort button.


This was not quite the descent into organised crime I had imagined.



Want the criminal fantasy without spending Tuesday afternoon comparing wholesale prices? Head to our Crime Games hub and find something with fewer invoices and considerably worse life choices.



Crime Pays. Sometimes Security Pays Better.

Probably Stolen starts small enough that I initially wondered where the crime had gone.


Customers arrive. They have things. I buy those things. Other customers want things. I sell them those things. For some reason I'm also deciding what customers want to eat or spend their money on, which gives me an alarming amount of authority over people who presumably entered the shop with functioning brains.


Then Security asks me to report wanted people.

Absolutely not.


A wanted man came into my shop and I immediately decided that whatever he'd done was between him, Security and whichever unfortunate bastard eventually gets assigned the paperwork. Then I discovered Security would actually pay me for turning him in.

Different story.

Suddenly this wasn't a moral decision anymore. This was accounting.


The wanted man was willing to pay me more for my goods than his bounty was worth, so I let him go. I would love to pretend this was an act of principled resistance against an authoritarian dystopia, but apparently my principles can be expressed in a spreadsheet. He was simply worth more to me uncaught.


That is where Probably Stolen is at its best.


It creates these tiny economic collisions where morality gets mugged by profit. Reporting criminals isn't necessarily "good". Protecting them isn't necessarily "evil". There's a number attached to both choices, and I discovered precisely how much my integrity costs.

Turns out the answer is embarrassingly calculable.



Prefer your illegal business with masks, drills and somebody inevitably screaming about the getaway van? Our PAYDAY hub has the robberies Probably Stolen kept making me wait for.



Unfortunately, I Also Became a Shopkeeper

The systems keep arriving quickly.


Day 2 introduced wholesale purchasing, including discounts for buying larger quantities. There's also scavenging at the dumping grounds, with five attempts and a chance of getting wounded. Early on, the risk didn't seem especially attractive to me, so my glorious life of scavenging the dystopian wasteland lasted approximately as long as it took me to understand the phrase "chance of getting wounded."


Day 3 brought counterfeit goods. Customers can try to sell you fakes, and you inspect them for flaws. Find something wrong and you've got leverage for a discount. You can also refuse the purchase entirely, which is useful because buying counterfeit rubbish merely because a stranger carried it into your shop would be less criminal mastermind and more Facebook Marketplace uncle.


Day 4 is where the game hands you the fraud button.

You can use fake labels to scam people. It works, although customers may eventually discover what you're doing. Excellent. Finally, we're behaving disgracefully.


Then came neon signs to attract particular customers, upgrades bought from customers, bartering, bargaining, market fluctuations and rent every seven days. The rent appears to increase every week because even in a cyberpunk dystopia the most terrifying faction remains landlords.


By Day 8, I noticed something unpleasant.

I was getting bored.


Probably Stolen hadn't suddenly become bad. Quite the opposite, there's a decent little shop simulator ticking away here. New mechanics arrive regularly and the economy keeps giving you things to consider.

I simply wasn't spending enough time being a criminal.

I was managing stock.

And Christ, that stock needs a sort button.


Once the inventory gets messy, finding things becomes irritating enough that I started yearning for basic warehouse administration. Nothing punctures the fantasy of becoming a cyberpunk underworld merchant quite like staring at your possessions thinking, could someone please arrange this alphabetically?



Then Security Finally Came Knocking

Day 9 was much more interesting.

Security inspections are real, and contraband has four levels. Lower-level contraband can apparently be ignored, while carrying more serious illegal merchandise introduces considerably more danger if Security finds it.

This is exactly the pressure I wanted the game to start applying.


Suddenly illegal goods aren't merely products with naughty labels. They're liabilities sitting inside the shop. Security can arrive. What you're carrying matters. The criminal side finally begins interacting directly with the supposedly respectable business you've built around it.


Security also continued asking me to report criminals.

Still no.


By Day 10 another wanted man appeared, and this one was even more useful. He buys contraband, including guns and ammunition, and I could call him when I had something suitable.

Now we're talking.


A recurring criminal buyer changes how illegal merchandise feels because contraband has somewhere to go. A gun isn't merely an object occupying inventory space while I nervously wait for Officer Clipboard to leave. There's a customer for it. There's an emerging underground economy. The mob had already taken an interest in me by Day 7, too.


This should have been the point where I became obsessed.

Instead, I quit the demo.



Still determined to make fictional society regret giving you free will? The Playable Villains hub is where we keep the games that actually let you become the problem.



The Crooked Shop Is There. I Wanted More of It.

That's the strange thing about Probably Stolen.

Most of the ingredients I wanted are actually here.


Wanted criminals walk through the door. Security pays for information. Criminals may be more valuable alive and shopping than reported. Counterfeits can be inspected and negotiated over. Customers can be scammed with fraudulent labels. Contraband has different severity levels. Security performs inspections. Criminal buyers provide an outlet for illegal merchandise. The mob starts sniffing around.

Those aren't decorative references to crime. They're mechanics.


But across ten days, they were surrounded by so much ordinary shop management that I never felt the criminal side properly seized control of the experience. Probably Stolen kept showing me glimpses of a game I'd love to become dangerously invested in, then asking me to think about wholesale inventory.


The full game could push much harder in that direction. The demo only establishes what I encountered through Day 10, and I stopped there. Later criminal relationships, higher-risk contraband and whatever comes from cooperating with the mob could dramatically change the balance.


I hope they do.


Because there's something genuinely excellent buried in that wanted-man decision. I didn't protect him because the game told me to roleplay a criminal. I protected him because he was good for business.

That's the criminal shopkeeper fantasy I wanted.


Give me more reasons to hide illegal stock. Give me customers I absolutely should report but desperately need alive. Make Security walking through the door feel like someone has just entered my shop carrying a live grenade and a clipboard. Let the mob relationship complicate everything. Make legitimate business the increasingly flimsy cardboard storefront I've erected in front of an operation that would cause several government agencies to develop a professional interest in my basement.


Probably Stolen already understands the fun of making crime an economic decision.

The demo just made me spend too much time being a retailer between crimes.


And after ten days, my most urgent illegal fantasy was stealing a sort button

 
 
 

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About the Editor
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I'm Niels Gys, founder and editor of CRIMENET GAZETTE. I write about crime, heist, villain, and horror games because somebody has to separate genuine criminal masterpieces from games that couldn't organize a successful mugging.

Outside the website, I'm the frontman of JETBLACK SMILE, a Belgian rock 'n' roll band that sounds like bad decisions played through loud guitars. Turns out writing about chaos, criminals, and morally questionable life choices isn't all that different from writing songs.

I started CRIMENET because too much gaming coverage feels afraid to have an opinion. Reviews become press releases, every game is "solid," and somehow everyone leaves happy except the reader.

Not here.

CRIMENET covers crime, heist, villain and horror games, with GTA Online as one of our main ongoing beats. Not the heroic kind. The kind where you rob banks, build empires, betray your crew, or become the monster everyone else is trying to survive.

I don't do review scores. The internet already has enough people arguing whether a game deserves a 72 instead of a 71, like they're negotiating a hostage release over a single percentage point. I'd rather tell you what the game actually feels like to play and whether it's worth your time.

Every article is built on research, evidence, and an unhealthy intolerance for mediocre game design.

 

Strong opinions are welcome. Invented facts are not.

Think less "trusted reviewer."

More "your inside man in the digital underworld."

I'm not here to save the world.

I'm here to tell you which crimes are worth committing. 🤘

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